樱花视频

Poll: Races Neck-and-Neck in Final Weeks, Florida Amendments May Pass

Election 2024 road sign

Which road will the 2024 election take


By joshua glanzer | 10/29/2024

The latest national poll from the 樱花视频 Political Communication and Public Opinion Research Lab () and Mainstreet Research USA reveals a neck-and-neck race between U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris and former U.S. President Donald Trump, with Harris holding a slim 49% to 47% lead among likely voters. Also, more voters (46%) believe Harris best understands the challenges facing average Americans, compared to 44% for Trump.

The House race reflects a similar divide, with 46% of voters preferring Democratic candidates and 46% supporting Republicans among likely voters. Among men, Republicans lead with 48% to 45%, while Democrats lead with women 47% to 44%.

鈥淭his race continues to be highly competitive,鈥 said Kevin Wagner, Ph.D., professor of political science and co-director of the PolCom Lab. 鈥淭urnout or a late movement of voters could be the difference.鈥

Additional findings of the national poll:

  • 31% of voters feel Elon Musk's social media posts are focused on improving society, while 50% believe they are more about Musk himself.
  • Satisfaction with U.S. democracy remains divided along party lines. Among Democrats, 54% are very satisfied or somewhat satisfied with the state of democracy and 47% of Republicans are feeling unsatisfied.
  • 65% of voters say they are very or somewhat happy with their current life situation.